Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf003610f5ce9c05bcdf4733968cfe4101b0f66fe278c89f0a774142c0fee92dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Idaho Vandalsof Idaho Vandals, Montana State Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,909 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 27,637$13,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,740.39 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho Vandals | 53c | 13,518$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 12,264$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,132.14 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 9,971$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.69 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Montana State Bobcats | 41c | 6,646$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.27 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Montana State Bobcats | 53c | 5,391$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.03 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Montana State Bobcats | 46c | 4,070$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.25 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Montana State Bobcats | 45c | 3,924$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.01 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Montana State Bobcats | 33c | 3,615$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.99 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Idaho Vandals | 53c | 3,207$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.72 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 3,051$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 2,639$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.61 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Idaho Vandals | 46c | 2,449$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…a985backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 2,390$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…0e68backed Montana State Bobcats | 49c | 2,369$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 1,378$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Idaho Vandals | 36c | 1,378$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.72 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Montana State Bobcats | 47c | 1,247$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Idaho Vandals | 49c | 984.23$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.92 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 911.48$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.74 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Idaho Vandals | 51c | 910.96$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Montana State Bobcats | 45c | 722.93$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.13 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Montana State Bobcats | 66c | 720.27$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Idaho Vandals | 54c | 719.33$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Idaho Vandals | 30c | 703.41$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.39 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Idaho Vandals | 54c | 550.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Idaho Vandals | 63c | 533.88$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 485.22$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.62 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 455.76$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 424.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Montana State Bobcats | 51c | 363.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Idaho Vandals | 51c | 317.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 311.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Idaho Vandals | 52c | 308.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Idaho Vandals | 52c | 295.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Idaho Vandals | 42c | 292.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Idaho Vandals | 54c | 258.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 41c | 231$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Montana State Bobcats | 49c | 230.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 199.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Idaho Vandals | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 192.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Idaho Vandals | 44c | 192.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Montana State Bobcats | 53c | 163.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Idaho Vandals | 47c | 156.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 155.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Idaho Vandals | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Montana State Bobcats | 21c | 147.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Idaho Vandals | 49c | 144.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 139.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 138.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 135.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Idaho Vandals | 43c | 127.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Idaho Vandals | 47c | 126.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Idaho Vandals | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Montana State Bobcats | 56c | 109.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Idaho Vandals | 46c | 106.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Montana State Bobcats | 52c | 103.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 101.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Montana State Bobcats | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Idaho Vandals | 51c | 97.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 95.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 93.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Montana State Bobcats | 49c | 85.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Idaho Vandals | 52c | 85.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Idaho Vandals | 49c | 83.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Idaho Vandals | 33c | 80.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Idaho Vandals | 39c | 67.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…5c8bbacked Idaho Vandals | 46c | 65.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 60.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Montana State Bobcats | 52c | 59.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Idaho Vandals | 51c | 58.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 57.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Idaho Vandals | 48c | 52.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Montana State Bobcats | 41c | 51.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Montana State Bobcats | 43c | 49.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Montana State Bobcats | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…af84backed Montana State Bobcats | 61c | 47.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 44.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Idaho Vandals | 47c | 44.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Idaho Vandals | 51c | 43.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Idaho Vandals | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e36…7f61backed Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 42.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…b680backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 38.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Montana State Bobcats | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…3006backed Idaho Vandals | 46c | 37.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Montana State Bobcats | 46c | 35.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Idaho Vandals | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Montana State Bobcats | 58c | 31.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 31.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Montana State Bobcats | 64c | 31.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 30.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 30.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcatsthis page
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-1.5)Idaho Vandals won
- Spread: Montana State Bobcats (-1.5)Idaho Vandals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.