UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6eb0b4f51126c3d79f54d3c6a42d2ea6a561bc017167e10fb962625ea775198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Pageof Michael Page, Sam Patterson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,131,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,131,391 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Michael Page | 66c | 265,420$174,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,437.72 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Michael Page | 63c | 164,312$103,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,795.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Michael Page | 64c | 161,192$103,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,086.95 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 150,000$55,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,499.96 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Sam Patterson | 34c | 148,650$50,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,413.49 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Sam Patterson | 31c | 101,845$31,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,075.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Sam Patterson | 33c | 63,572$20,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,811.98 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Sam Patterson | 34c | 41,109$14,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,132.6 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Sam Patterson | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sam Patterson | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Sam Patterson | 6c | 31,887$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Sam Patterson | 36c | 28,908$10,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,407 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Sam Patterson | 34c | 28,049$9,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,535.25 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Sam Patterson | 36c | 27,778$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Michael Page | 67c | 25,542$17,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,468.89 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Sam Patterson | 34c | 24,837$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,350.04 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sam Patterson | 37c | 19,234$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.98 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michael Page | 64c | 16,193$10,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,829.53 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sam Patterson | 7c | 15,438$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.41 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Sam Patterson | 23c | 14,695$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.36 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Sam Patterson | 35c | 11,672$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.25 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Michael Page | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 10,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.97 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Michael Page | 65c | 9,393$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michael Page | 64c | 8,708$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.87 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Michael Page | 65c | 8,666$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.95 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Sam Patterson | 33c | 8,003$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.8 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sam Patterson | 33c | 7,599$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.56 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 7,455$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sam Patterson | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.03 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sam Patterson | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.93 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9b…573fbacked Michael Page | 65c | 5,850$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Sam Patterson | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Sam Patterson | 5c | 4,928$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Michael Page | 63c | 4,735$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.93 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…3d94backed Michael Page | 67c | 4,500$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Michael Page | 66c | 3,939$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Michael Page | 66c | 3,227$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Michael Page | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Michael Page | 64c | 3,137$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.25 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sam Patterson | 27c | 3,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Sam Patterson | 35c | 2,914$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Michael Page | 63c | 2,762$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.95 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…c0ddbacked Sam Patterson | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Michael Page | 71c | 2,677$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 2,676$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Michael Page | 63c | 2,619$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sam Patterson | 35c | 2,544$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.67 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Sam Patterson | 36c | 2,348$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.36 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Michael Page | 67c | 2,200$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Michael Page | 64c | 2,172$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.77 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…1fdabacked Michael Page | 64c | 2,070$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Michael Page | 64c | 2,067$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sam Patterson | 35c | 2,002$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.73 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Sam Patterson | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Michael Page | 63c | 1,892$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…15d9backed Michael Page | 63c | 1,858$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 1,853$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michael Page | 65c | 1,641$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.61 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Michael Page | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Sam Patterson | 35c | 1,549$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Sam Patterson | 36c | 1,520$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Sam Patterson | 3c | 1,496$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Michael Page | 64c | 1,414$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.77 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Sam Patterson | 34c | 1,405$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.86 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Sam Patterson | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Michael Page | 66c | 1,396$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…bebfbacked Michael Page | 64c | 1,352$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…d3e2backed Michael Page | 64c | 1,344$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…3552backed Michael Page | 63c | 1,324$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Sam Patterson | 35c | 1,273$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Michael Page | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Sam Patterson | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +327.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sam Patterson | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Sam Patterson | 27c | 1,142$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Michael Page | 65c | 1,098$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Michael Page | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Sam Patterson | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Michael Page | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Michael Page | 64c | 993$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Sam Patterson | 38c | 965.46$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.77 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Sam Patterson | 37c | 951.62$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.1 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…d53cbacked Michael Page | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Michael Page | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Michael Page | 64c | 832.67$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Michael Page | 64c | 827$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…029cbacked Michael Page | 63c | 820.63$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…3c3cbacked Michael Page | 63c | 794$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Michael Page | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Michael Page | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Michael Page | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…d98ebacked Michael Page | 64c | 780.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Sam Patterson | 9c | 779.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…cfb5backed Michael Page | 66c | 762.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Michael Page | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sam Patterson | 7c | 723.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sam Patterson | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Sam Patterson | 26c | 699.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Michael Page win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.