TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc932…e6a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Marino: Facundo Acosta vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$106.08
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$51.78
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.47
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$120.56
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$413.46
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.9
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$152.44
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+83%+$214.84
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$439.87
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$289.04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.07
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$67.61
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$108.06
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$124.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$192.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$213.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$127.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$314.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$514.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$145.93
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+46.5%+$123.75
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 15 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.1%+$645.46
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$274.04
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+70.8%+$155.74
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+97.2%+$291.51
Will Johannes Lochner (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - 4 Man (Driver) at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+36.4%+$164.33
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$271.49
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Will Eitberger/Matschina (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100.06
Will Julia Taubitz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+41.3%+$101.45
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$46.16
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$165.21
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$150.51
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$278.47
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$200.85
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+52.4%+$262.24
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,102.49
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.6%+$302.57
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,701Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+59.8%+$1,016.92
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$530.8
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+89.8%+$44.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$1,238.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,069.68
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.43
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$103.53
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,703
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,401
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$321
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$204.7
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$500.28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12,473Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$6,647.77
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$1,073.62
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$505.89
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$820.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,016Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$1,993.23
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$2,856.15
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.28
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$494.44
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$237.2
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53%+$380.36
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$58.28
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$101.19
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$140.63
Will SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+43.9%+$98.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48%+$100.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$457.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$78.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+41.4%+$41.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$1,137.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,788.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.