F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88fa7210e67f4d17a8cde48b7bcf78f26270a80e9ac8a3ae34cd718596110181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 53c | 4,338$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.46 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,106$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.74 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 54c | 989.15$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 60c | 760.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Yes | 46c | 745.84$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 45c | 446.31$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 35c | 288$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes | 60c | 227.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 30c | 210.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 61c | 164.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 65c | 142.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 40c | 122.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 33c | 119.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…1f91backed Yes | 39c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 48c | 106.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 61c | 84.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 63c | 81.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 45c | 79.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 43c | 62.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 71c | 61.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…ccf3backed Yes | 50c | 47.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 62c | 44.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 57c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 41.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…4fd7backed Yes | 36c | 41.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…c206backed Yes | 37c | 40.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 67c | 39.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…fa5cbacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 63c | 32.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 48c | 30.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…c6c7backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…bcb7backed Yes | 50c | 29.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 57c | 26.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 62c | 24.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 22.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.