F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8af3b0f217641edeb349f099da2116d0102a4ce0b51cbcad777363fd4074221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 55c | 1,163$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Yes | 49c | 757.38$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 61c | 350.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 344.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 40c | 307.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 292.11$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 36c | 277.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 208.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 68c | 176.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked No | 60c | 169.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 44c | 114.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 35c | 106.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 19c | 97.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 50c | 84.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 71c | 78.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 53c | 77.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 72.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed No | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 79c | 61.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 40c | 47.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 45.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…7133backed Yes | 27c | 42.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 63c | 40.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 36c | 39.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 39.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…c6c7backed Yes | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 33c | 36.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 63c | 34.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 22.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 63c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.