TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5136…0e4f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
500
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT9654.2%52 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+142.7%+$23.52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.72
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$108.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$8.47
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$178.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$8.4
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$5.95
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$7.28
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$17.52
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$10.49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7468.9%51 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$18.69
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$14.37
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.56
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$203.27
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$18.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$8.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.32
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.48
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$537.32
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.42
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$203.63
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$13.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.19
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$111.37
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$97.28
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$10.02
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$4.18
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$26.4
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.96
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$463.88
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$8.65
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$23.88
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$12.72
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$12.48
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$9.74
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.93
Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.02
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$11.21
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$7.35
Will "ZENSHU" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.56
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$20.1
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$23.68
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$22.79
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.49
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$132
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.54
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$6.08
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$13.55
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$35.6
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+152%+$20.57
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$11.25
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+221.5%+$27.76
Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$541.84
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.07
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.6
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$527.7
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$9.34
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$8.91
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$8.97
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$32.26
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$31.93
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$62.25
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$8.34
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+57%+$12.95
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.89
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.26
Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$66.35
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$57.63
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$62.5
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+84%+$57.08
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$54.01
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$32.52
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$178.03
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.93
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$90.69
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$15.5
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$187.23
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.38
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,747.03
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+850%+$253.62
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$46.89
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.07
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.86
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.66
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+347.6%+$349.85
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36%+$158.7
Will Lautaro Martínez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$2.86
Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+186.9%+$22.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58%+$886.71
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$19.97
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$9.54
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$29.12
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$24.1
Will Lime's market cap be between $1.7B and $2B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$8.2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.43
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$160.33
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.55
Will Innio's market cap be between $23B and $26B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.75
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$11.57
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$56.18
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.06
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28%+$7.43
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$8
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$33.25
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$35.61
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $400M and $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $2.0B and $2.1B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.96
All 23 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.81
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.02
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.29
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$81.66
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$7.9
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$9.53
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$13.05
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$53.75
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.38
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$6.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.75
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$53.15
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.02
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$19.27
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 175k and 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$12.3
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$18.3
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$13.62
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$15.2
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.06
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$500.76
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$126.52
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.26
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+440.5%+$48.9
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.61
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.2
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$5.1
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,597Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$1,236.28
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,943Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28%+$823.52
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$1,411.98
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.14
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$45.56
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.27
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$95.24
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.89
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$128.5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$25.34
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$26.24
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+76%+$19.14
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$282.6
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.89
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$114.79
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$42.32
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+431.4%+$138.82
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$33.33
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$78
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.12
Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 3M Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$58.75
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$25.34
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.63
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$111.33
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$26.64
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$4.49
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6.82
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$168.49
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.7
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$18.24
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+356.4%+$659.85
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$389.45
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+48%+$29.23
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$10.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$17.25
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+172%+$47.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.75
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+302.7%+$486.08
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.09
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$110.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+121.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keyd Stars Academy win CD 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.