NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6975562ee20339b873df943986e6b150e84b767e026f7a85c1a28b91a37dfbf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca33…918cbacked No | 1c | 169,939$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.51 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…955dbacked No | 2c | 105,794$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 3,795$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 13c | 3,012$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.14 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,158$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 2,137$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.24 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…7f65backed Yes | 44c | 1,821$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 52c | 1,749$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 15c | 1,545$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…7b51backed No | 1c | 1,460$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 33c | 1,405$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.3 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Yes | 68c | 1,302$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…b46fbacked No | 1c | 1,259$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,116$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 36c | 939.69$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.26 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 35c | 706.49$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…1a10backed Yes | 36c | 704.77$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac59…ac78backed Yes | 41c | 645.52$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 73c | 641.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 69c | 576.42$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.69 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes | 66c | 570$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 31c | 565.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 19c | 523$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 36c | 504.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.19 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 446$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 52c | 417$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 39c | 380.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 75c | 361.47$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 357.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 352$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 59c | 342.64$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…4a71backed Yes | 43c | 309.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 306.32$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…2b08backed Yes | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 31c | 288.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 59c | 254.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…e046backed Yes | 26c | 248.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 36c | 245.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 64c | 236.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9cd5backed Yes | 19c | 204.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 201.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 199$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…34e1backed Yes | 50c | 198.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…2606backed Yes | 35c | 181.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 16c | 181.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 170.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…29bcbacked No | 61c | 160.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 154.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 30c | 151.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 50c | 147.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Yes | 70c | 126.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed No | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 49c | 119.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +208.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 15c | 117$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…2e90backed No | 75c | 116.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 38c | 111.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 47c | 107.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 31c | 105$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…5369backed No | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 117 | 66.7%78 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 90.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 66c | 88.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 77c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked No | 54c | 87.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 35c | 84.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…b4aabacked Yes | 48c | 84.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Yes | 33c | 81.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 38c | 75.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…c3b7backed Yes | 27c | 74.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 30c | 71.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 39c | 69.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 68.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 69c | 66.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…6210backed Yes | 20c | 63.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 23cpaid | +484.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 59.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 51c | 58.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 36c | 52.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…9fbabacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…86f6backed Yes | 50c | 49.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…6fbdbacked Yes | 43c | 49.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +220.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…a747backed No | 44c | 48.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…d61bbacked Yes | 65c | 44.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked No | 47c | 44.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…58b6backed Yes | 62c | 43.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…85b3backed Yes | 64c | 42.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 24c | 42.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…9859backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…32babacked Yes | 66c | 39.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked No | 28c | 39.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?this page
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.