NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79abf81ba6ed8a3f7180153da64c9d9b8cdee242d38ea19f6588651c850f442c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6e8…955dbacked Yes | 0c | 49,955$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 2c | 4,711$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…7f65backed No | 42c | 2,645$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,389$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 36c | 2,225$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.73 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 2,011$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.06 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ad…ff74backed Yes | 63c | 1,168$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +355.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 59c | 988.71$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.21 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 51c | 974.37$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…d10dbacked Yes | 76c | 791.34$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +102%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…0a19backed Yes | 23c | 777.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…39e6backed Yes | 4c | 611.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 586$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 576.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…9555backed Yes | 2c | 532.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…c09dbacked Yes | 50c | 520.69$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 58c | 505.47$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…4a71backed Yes | 14c | 500.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed No | 46c | 483.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…4253backed Yes | 16c | 471.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…7d3cbacked No | 50c | 471$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 447.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 3c | 444.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 442$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…d064backed Yes | 51c | 439.16$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…404fbacked Yes | 47c | 432.87$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 34c | 391.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 390.87$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 28c | 359.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5d…9a4cbacked Yes | 58c | 336.65$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 23c | 323$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…406dbacked Yes | 55c | 322.17$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 314.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 63c | 309.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 306.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.96 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 293.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…fc33backed Yes | 58c | 276.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 42c | 273.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 47c | 270.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…3b04backed Yes | 39c | 267.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 12c | 249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed No | 52c | 247.05$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 53c | 246.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 245.8$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2e…f6c3backed Yes | 64c | 240$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…5cbbbacked Yes | 57c | 233.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…6e94backed Yes | 56c | 233.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…0509backed Yes | 66c | 226.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…a10dbacked No | 36c | 219.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…c585backed Yes | 47c | 215.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…6bb0backed No | 45c | 207.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 35c | 201.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9cd5backed Yes | 14c | 200.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Yes | 69c | 199.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e766backed Yes | 51c | 195.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 37c | 181.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 174.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 58c | 163.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 155$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…c609backed Yes | 66c | 152.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d2…7ce5backed Yes | 69c | 144.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d287backed Yes | 60c | 141.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f1b6backed Yes | 68c | 139.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ef…6f4fbacked Yes | 50c | 120.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…5369backed Yes | 19c | 117.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…702abacked Yes | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 60c | 114.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…b4aabacked Yes | 58c | 114.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 34c | 112.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 67c | 111.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…0f06backed Yes | 60c | 111.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Yes | 40c | 111.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 46c | 104.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…a7a1backed Yes | 20c | 100.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Yes | 58c | 100.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…c480backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…317dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9658…e446backed Yes | 68c | 97.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 57c | 94.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…caa6backed Yes | 59c | 90.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 12c | 86.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…1590backed No | 59c | 83.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…8928backed Yes | 13c | 79.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…8438backed Yes | 59c | 75.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 74.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…2a19backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…2e90backed No | 28c | 74.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 44c | 74.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…d3dbbacked Yes | 68c | 73.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…982cbacked Yes | 42c | 70.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…cd77backed Yes | 71c | 70.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…2a2cbacked No | 38c | 70.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?this page
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.