TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82a0…14b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
735
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT28257.1%161 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 282 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$51.02
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.94
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.89
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$8.56
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.03
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.68
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.56
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$73.15
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
England to score first vs. France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
Showing 25 of 282 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT16444.5%73 W · 91 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,283.83
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$3,027.53
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$2,614.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.64
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$575.85
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$146.5
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$43.76
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,096.19
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$193.1
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$211.84
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.92
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$193.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.34
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$249.73
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,362.99
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.86
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.62
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.57
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$353.52
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.88
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT9048.9%44 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$121.45
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+260.2%+$163.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$110.63
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$233.78
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,243.39
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.26
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,008.79
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.61
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$616.25
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.67
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.63
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$347.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$525.27
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$609.39
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$60.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$559.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.39
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$132.49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.15
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.41
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.76
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.82
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$66.1
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$95.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$86.86
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.97
Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.02
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.98
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.35
Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.69
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.68
Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$223.9
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$253.19
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$93.38
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,127.61
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.94
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,284.41
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$126.64
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.83
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$612.28
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$132.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$26.26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+45.2%+$63.87
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$117.3
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.83
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.78
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$132.72
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$459.87
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.6
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69.48
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+86.2%+$167.88
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.5%+$39.4
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.13
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+54.2%+$16.87
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$41.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$152.12
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.6
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$209.38
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+30.8%+$23.55
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 20 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25.86
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+99.7%+$88.69
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $295–300 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+473.5%+$248.13
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$46.38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$72.55
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285–290 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$45.97
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $290–295 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42.63
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$78.42
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$95.13
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275–280 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$89.83
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280–285 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$68.48
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.52
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.23
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155.13
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$109.27
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$259.47
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$280.63
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$111.95
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$147.3
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$580.67
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.5%+$134.9
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$91.61
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+119%+$20.29
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$85.58
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$236.13
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53%+$138.16
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$410.03
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$83.92
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.13
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$73.27
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$143.57
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.98
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.88
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+57.7%+$73.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$15.17
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.31
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.28
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$86.26
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$39.44
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.5%+$83.7
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$78.24
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+77.5%+$43.66
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$82.05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$73.81
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+136.4%+$186.28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+252.4%+$89.08
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.43
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47%+$54.78
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$62.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$48.38
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.5
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+55.4%+$243.48
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.9
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.44
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.22
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-72.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.2%+$407.6
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$43.12
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$160.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$164.98
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72%+$492.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.11
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$404.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$789.16
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$298.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+48.7%+$62.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+43.2%+$43.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$44.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.