Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66b9a00822b5f84bcc0dd7659ee6b7e91ace6333e790a2aeb32329242f58412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 11,809$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Yes | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked No | 25c | 6,941$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.07 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 79c | 6,090$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 12c | 3,759$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.13 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978c…7e69backed No | 48c | 1,750$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…00cabacked No | 30c | 1,480$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 14c | 1,319$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 63c | 1,069$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…668cbacked No | 15c | 1,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Yes | 70c | 846.58$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 78c | 810.62$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 21c | 756.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fd4fbacked No | 19c | 750.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 23c | 678.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7de4backed No | 9c | 649$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed Yes | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 7c | 571$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 73c | 567.78$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 1,112 | 43.7%486 W · 626 L | +25.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 564.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 12c | 550$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 79c | 537.76$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7491backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…d21dbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…45c3backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…3f49backed Yes | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 8c | 471.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +533.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 18c | 453$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 75c | 439.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 75c | 433.43$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…4badbacked Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 16c | 392.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed No | 11c | 390.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 20c | 389.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 19c | 316.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 301.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 17c | 282.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 74c | 267.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…fd96backed No | 26c | 262.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…9ff1backed Yes | 78c | 253$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 6c | 249.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 20c | 245.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 74c | 229.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…7efbbacked No | 16c | 202.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…ab83backed No | 8c | 191.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…86f0backed No | 20c | 179.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 11c | 134.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…46a4backed No | 18c | 126.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 62c | 122.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…cf42backed Yes | 76c | 107$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 20c | 102.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…7e0cbacked Yes | 69c | 102.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…33d3backed No | 15c | 99.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 74c | 86.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked Yes | 74c | 86.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed No | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 20c | 77.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 293 | 23.2%68 W · 225 L | -31.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…084ebacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…ee58backed Yes | 78c | 68.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…4536backed Yes | 79c | 67.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…5092backed Yes | 78c | 60.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 22c | 51.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 72c | 50.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…e0c2backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…e350backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 78c | 35.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2406…2dd1backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…8988backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of November?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.