TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb01…02e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Earnings, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 58 out of 100; worst Music at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST23253.4%124 W · 108 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 232 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple dip to $232 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.5%+$33.97
Will Palantir dip to $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$145.25
Will Palantir dip to $162 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Apple dip to $244 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.8%+$389.55
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$154.89
Will Meta dip to $640 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+27.1%+$24.55
Will Meta (META) finish week of December 29 above $660?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$206.29
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 29 above $230?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$325
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $245 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.9
Will Palantir reach $201 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$55.08
Will Opendoor dip to $4 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$12.04
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $525 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.5%+$135.2
Will Microsoft dip to $450 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$6.75
Will Microsoft dip to $435 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$20.87
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $500 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$134.69
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $260 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$69.62
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $205 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Amazon reach $260 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Amazon reach $240 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $455 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.28
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $420 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$29.7
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $430 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$42.9
Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $85 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.25
Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $90 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124.12
Showing 25 of 232 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$632
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$330
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,079.8
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$851.52
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+32.5%+$9.8
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+54.7%+$41.44
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.84
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$204.91
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$218.95
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$505.08
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+368.4%+$1,639.02
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+48.5%+$3,013.22
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+111.8%+$1,447.2
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+137.9%+$1,885.76
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+376.2%+$672.27
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$213.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,653.06
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$84.52
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49%+$16.96
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$396.5
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25.2%+$239.96
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,531Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.5%+$1,018.92
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.59
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+27.2%+$343.29
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.13
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,473Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+202.7%+$7,041.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+43.2%+$61.71
Will Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+237.1%+$27.46
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51.03
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$45.67
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$104.23
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$73.36
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$119.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick15cpaid+717.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+98.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+376.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$10,800
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$126.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$1,639.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+389.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+389.8%+$1,023.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+151.8%+$211.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lai Ching-te impeached before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bryan College Lions vs. Samford Bulldogsbacked Bryan College Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$435.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$178.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,145.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.