CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs NAVI Junior (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3781555bc884f51e47baab27c7483c0bff54daaf0da42e82a14239ddc193ca0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof AaB esport, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed AaB esport | 1c | 9,989$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed AaB esport | 0c | 7,096$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…3641backed AaB esport | 0c | 4,962$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AaB esport | 0c | 4,701$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed AaB esport | 1c | 3,636$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed NAVI Junior | 50c | 2,916$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.35 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed AaB esport | 61c | 2,247$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.31 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…5d15backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 1,355$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…23f7backed AaB esport | 1c | 1,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03d…0aa2backed AaB esport | 65c | 1,069$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…567dbacked NAVI Junior | 29c | 928$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…f2a3backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 775$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked AaB esport | 68c | 743.19$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked NAVI Junior | 32c | 729.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.84 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed AaB esport | 2c | 727.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +317.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed AaB esport | 2c | 727.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…e843backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 711$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…5c4fbacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 631$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…9ef0backed AaB esport | 71c | 579$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…6183backed AaB esport | 30c | 548.14$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…09e1backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 535$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 508$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…a03abacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 494$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…cf57backed AaB esport | 65c | 489$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…ca08backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 484$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e61ebacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 465$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked NAVI Junior | 30c | 465$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed AaB esport | 68c | 427.78$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…2fccbacked AaB esport | 70c | 404$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed AaB esport | 50c | 393.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed NAVI Junior | 50c | 393.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…1582backed AaB esport | 70c | 362$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…22b0backed AaB esport | 71c | 349$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…02ebbacked AaB esport | 35c | 345$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 332.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.35 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…e4fdbacked AaB esport | 70c | 307$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed AaB esport | 65c | 286$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…ef4ebacked AaB esport | 65c | 286$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked AaB esport | 65c | 280$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…05ccbacked AaB esport | 70c | 269$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…982fbacked AaB esport | 70c | 261$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…a026backed AaB esport | 70c | 260$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d2…2e42backed AaB esport | 70c | 259$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…8420backed AaB esport | 70c | 256$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563e…3392backed AaB esport | 65c | 255$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…26f9backed AaB esport | 70c | 248$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked AaB esport | 70c | 247$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked NAVI Junior | 46c | 239.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed AaB esport | 54c | 234.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…315cbacked AaB esport | 70c | 233$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…afd9backed AaB esport | 70c | 228$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked AaB esport | 68c | 221.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked AaB esport | 62c | 218.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…3592backed AaB esport | 70c | 218$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…162abacked AaB esport | 70c | 206$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…002dbacked AaB esport | 9c | 199.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked AaB esport | 69c | 192.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed NAVI Junior | 27c | 152.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked AaB esport | 26c | 70.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed NAVI Junior | 32c | 62.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…56c5backed NAVI Junior | 35c | 56.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…84bcbacked NAVI Junior | 39c | 36.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked AaB esport | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…b9bcbacked AaB esport | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…18b1backed AaB esport | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…892ebacked AaB esport | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked AaB esport | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.