TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e80…56c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST11646.6%54 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+110.9%+$22.19
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+300%+$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+182.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+182.6%+$36.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.