TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Rangers, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$524,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$550,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Rangers38c252,539$95,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,9651040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks57c107,455$61,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,361.591,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Ducks63c89,494$56,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,869.2426849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks75c32,577$24,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,137.1338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks55c31,241$17,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,044.7256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks61c27,500$16,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,7251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Rangers45c27,092$12,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,091.2416656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Rangers43c26,871$11,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,487.5111052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Rangers22c16,986$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.9112835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Ducks57c15,931$9,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,850.178252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks56c11,111$6,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.71,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Ducks75c8,400$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1007162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Ducks57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers43c7,441$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.6352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Ducks56c7,143$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.862846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Ducks76c6,860$5,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.0714753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9251,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Rangers46c5,958$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.689052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Ducks57c5,265$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.7831550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers45c5,200$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34033243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0537…13b6backed Rangers44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.963748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd837…85d2backed Rangers45c4,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers37c4,493$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.931,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Rangers43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Ducks56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Rangers25c3,688$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.511030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Ducks55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.365853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb9…6df0backed Rangers37c3,495$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.7740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks76c3,436$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.7485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Ducks57c3,110$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.229651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers11c3,012$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks56c2,768$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.213948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rangers40c2,335$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.922,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.151,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Rangers44c2,200$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Rangers42c2,158$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.3542254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rangers11c2,019$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8539344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rangers15c1,896$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.472114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Ducks57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.3714654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Ducks57c1,587$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.7318345.9%84 W · 99 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Ducks57c1,476$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.6875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ducks78c1,303$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.21,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Rangers12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers24c1,232$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.281,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers42c1,200$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50951044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers43c1,124$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.325045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb4…bd40backed Rangers36c1,123$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.16944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Rangers44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48445749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks57c1,065$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.9525555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks55c1,010$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4854047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…1b08backed Rangers43c1,000$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.992181%17 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Rangers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Rangers12c989.31$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Ducks56c953.56$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.5731848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Ducks56c945.16$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8732946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers44c944.44$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Ducks55c935.32$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.8925449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Rangers44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39640049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rangers44c869.99$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.232251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rangers43c853$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7984953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Rangers28c823.88$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3414757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Rangers44c787.04$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.198347%39 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks67c721.53$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0432744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Ducks56c708.13$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9735245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Rangers36c700$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25514142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…3447backed Ducks55c690$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…7d3fbacked Rangers45c640$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rangers44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe267…ebffbacked Rangers44c599.98$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Ducks57c586$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.983948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Rangers21c565.38$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.192548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Ducks55c554.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Rangers47c541.91$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.741354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3a…1db7backed Rangers45c520$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Rangers44c513.64$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…aaa6backed Ducks56c512.23$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Ducks43c503.05$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Ducks54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23013747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Ducks57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…f584backed Rangers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Rangers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22531148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Rangers14c490.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Rangers44c485.84$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.779854.1%53 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers22c485.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b8…6f30backed Rangers11c484.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2290%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Ducks53c474.39$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9211749.6%58 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf846…cb9fbacked Ducks56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.292065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Rangers13c457.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rangers8c457.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.471,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Ducks56c452.05$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Ducks62c446.51$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4617057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers24c439.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.461,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks55c439$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Ducks55c421.84$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6113348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Rangers14c408.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587948.1%38 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Rangers46c403.8$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7538645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff52…132ebacked Rangers19c395.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.