TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2652…1b08

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2181%17 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.49
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Utica Cometsbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+89.1%+$650.05
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Providence Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.7%+$427.25
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25.3%+$10.1
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+43.3%+$30.2
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+62.3%+$690.74
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.4%+$233.15
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+50.5%+$63.79
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$433.99
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85%+$49.02
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.3%+$203.19
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.6%+$279.8
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+105.7%+$33.91
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+41.9%+$231.97
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+183.2%+$25.88
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$23.88
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$464.63
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
LoL: La BOMBAS vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked La BOMBAS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.54
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$356
Game Handicap: LPS (-1.5) vs Crvena zvezda Esports (+1.5)backed Crvena zvezda Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$128.65
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$189.85
LoL: SPAXFAMILY vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked SPAXFAMILY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$104.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$192.73
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$68.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51.24
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$171.09
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,524Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,424.58
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+60.5%+$37.7
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.1%+$87.42
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,095.55
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18.45
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$580.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$355.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.