NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232688274623b6b5192c2019e53e183095a33cc43745e2265f1c66e990f7f5d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,125,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,162,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,125,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Flames | 50c | 396,710$198,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,704.85 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ducks | 50c | 299,770$150,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,438.42 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flames | 51c | 140,661$72,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,022.13 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 50c | 65,000$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,500 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Ducks | 49c | 48,229$23,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,785.67 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 48c | 31,018$14,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,022.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 49c | 25,762$12,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,208.39 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Ducks | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 50c | 14,209$7,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 56c | 13,835$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808.1 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 48c | 12,034$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.18 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Flames | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 50c | 11,515$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,795.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 50c | 11,500$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ducks | 40c | 10,272$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.61 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Flames | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 49c | 10,000$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Ducks | 40c | 10,000$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.13 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ducks | 41c | 9,547$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.2 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Flames | 50c | 8,794$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.19 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 60c | 8,788$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,261.37 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 51c | 8,700$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks | 48c | 7,711$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.15 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Flames | 52c | 7,708$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Flames | 52c | 6,959$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.68 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Ducks | 55c | 6,909$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.69 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Ducks | 49c | 6,767$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.17 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 50c | 6,372$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.08 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Ducks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 49c | 5,934$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Ducks | 51c | 5,795$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.63 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Ducks | 50c | 5,672$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Ducks | 24c | 5,555$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.79 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Flames | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Flames | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Ducks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Flames | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.86 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flames | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.84 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Ducks | 51c | 4,868$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Flames | 55c | 4,216$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.21 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flames | 50c | 4,121$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.02 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Flames | 51c | 4,120$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.2 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 66c | 4,000$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.6 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 50c | 4,000$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 51c | 3,478$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.32 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 50c | 3,323$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.49 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 49c | 3,233$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.15 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 44c | 3,131$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flames | 50c | 3,064$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.07 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Flames | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 53c | 2,978$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.72 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 50c | 2,823$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.72 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 49c | 2,691$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flames | 58c | 2,577$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.74 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flames | 71c | 2,549$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.41 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Flames | 52c | 2,290$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.41 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flames | 53c | 2,280$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.56 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 50c | 2,200$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.52 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flames | 51c | 2,200$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ducks | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 50c | 2,112$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.56 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Ducks | 43c | 2,096$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.8 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 49c | 2,076$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.88 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flames | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Ducks | 51c | 1,998$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.12 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Ducks | 21c | 1,994$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.52 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…50b7backed Flames | 51c | 1,971$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…417cbacked Ducks | 50c | 1,971$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…b6e1backed Flames | 50c | 1,945$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 49c | 1,885$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.29 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…cb72backed Ducks | 51c | 1,846$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 52c | 1,818$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.36 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…1b08backed Ducks | 62c | 1,800$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.74 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Ducks | 77c | 1,701$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Flames | 50c | 1,630$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.14 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Ducks | 24c | 1,556$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.51 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Flames | 59c | 1,555$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.61 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Ducks | 50c | 1,499$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.17 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Ducks | 48c | 1,400$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.96 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 51c | 1,398$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.43 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Ducks | 30c | 1,312$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.46 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flames | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.01 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…b6ccbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 51c | 1,298$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.02 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf550…dc5dbacked Flames | 52c | 1,298$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…c003backed Ducks | 48c | 1,266$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…f900backed Flames | 52c | 1,266$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…798bbacked Flames | 52c | 1,264$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…4b71backed Ducks | 48c | 1,264$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Flames | 49c | 1,262$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.3 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Ducks | 52c | 1,225$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc7…6c2cbacked Ducks | 48c | 1,218$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…244dbacked Flames | 52c | 1,218$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…05eabacked Flames | 52c | 1,214$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…ce50backed Ducks | 48c | 1,214$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Flames | 66c | 1,201$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.07 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…b611backed Flames | 52c | 1,192$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Flamesthis page
- Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Flames won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.