TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7f1…d867

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 63 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT5969.5%41 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+65%+$32.52
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$102.75
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$332.93
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.59
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$27.67
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$96.54
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.68
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$22.09
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$591.06
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$652.5
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,812Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$1,027.78
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.2
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Devils vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.4
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.06
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.8
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$121.58
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$94.74
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$5.44
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Jonas Valančiūnas: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$28.1
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.78
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$342.21
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,104.33
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$476.76
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$436.09
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$400.96
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.37
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$1,369.52
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.3
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$322.15
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$4,065.22
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.67
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.67
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.78
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$466.18
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$894.61
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.76
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.55
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,881Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$2,604.98
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$1,789.87
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,804.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.54
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,682Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+62%+$2,283.57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.33
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Bucknell Bison vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Charlotte 49ers vs. Temple Owlsbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+274.5%+$36.65
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 121.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
LIU Sharks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30.22
Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friars: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,482.59
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+203%+$1,675
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$16.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.