Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b139d701478da834ec99d210ff60d5228d748c98c7f9a70ad8d3a532b6c9179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 33,702$17,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,177.01 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 8,028$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Over | 48c | 5,910$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,108$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.8 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 948.15$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 48c | 510.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 48c | 414.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 315.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 312.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 48c | 305.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 248.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 47c | 52.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 48c | 31.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Over | 48c | 22.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 155.5this page
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay GovernorsAustin Peay Governors won
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 154.5Under won
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-2.5)Austin Peay Governors won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-3.5)Austin Peay Governors won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-4.5)Austin Peay Governors won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-5.5)Austin Peay Governors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.