Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33900b0a5f9f199c767a5ccaa58d3cd145059e6ea82eb4e37f0a302176f01ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austin Peay Governorsof Austin Peay Governors, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc323…0171backed Austin Peay Governors | 61c | 3,893$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.24 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 42c | 2,200$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 40c | 1,210$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Austin Peay Governors | 53c | 505.79$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 48c | 499.73$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Austin Peay Governors | 46c | 365.6$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Austin Peay Governors | 61c | 291.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 278.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 266.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Austin Peay Governors | 55c | 243$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 56c | 226.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 47c | 177.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Austin Peay Governors | 52c | 155.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Austin Peay Governors | 42c | 55.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 29c | 54.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 51c | 40.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Austin Peay Governors | 57c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-4.5)this page
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay GovernorsAustin Peay Governors won
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 154.5Under won
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 155.5Under won
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Austin Peay Governors: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-2.5)Austin Peay Governors won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-3.5)Austin Peay Governors won
- Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-5.5)Austin Peay Governors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.