NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40c6a429fe7a00bc682e6400bddd68e1a4455f0af681114d0fa557fbcc7efd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Heat, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,772,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,772,713 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,038 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Hornets | 65c | 144,734$93,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,747.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…78dfbacked Heat | 36c | 127,000$45,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,649.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets | 66c | 111,174$73,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,799.24 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 65c | 84,010$54,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,403.66 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 34c | 64,118$21,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,799.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Heat | 35c | 60,412$21,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,144.2 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 35c | 60,000$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Heat | 37c | 55,518$20,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,587.27 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Heat | 35c | 49,847$17,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,446.62 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets | 65c | 49,634$32,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,372.06 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Hornets | 63c | 43,207$27,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,106.65 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Heat | 35c | 41,125$14,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,422.4 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…4c42backed Hornets | 61c | 40,165$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,664.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 69c | 37,694$26,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,687.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 61c | 35,086$21,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,757.8 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 36c | 33,710$12,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,122.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Heat | 35c | 33,520$11,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,798.82 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 35c | 30,638$10,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,638.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 18c | 22,407$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.2 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Hornets | 66c | 20,032$13,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.63 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 68c | 19,985$13,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.44 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Heat | 37c | 19,978$7,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,391.34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Heat | 36c | 19,552$7,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,016.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Heat | 42c | 18,868$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.4 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 38c | 17,293$6,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.43 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Hornets | 78c | 17,268$13,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.63 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Hornets | 66c | 17,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.96 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 63c | 16,231$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Heat | 36c | 16,113$5,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,743.6 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Heat | 41c | 15,634$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 33c | 15,494$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Heat | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 70c | 15,000$10,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hornets | 60c | 14,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Heat | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets | 62c | 13,729$8,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.66 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Hornets | 61c | 12,995$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.05 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hornets | 66c | 12,620$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.31 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Heat | 24c | 12,400$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 64c | 11,820$7,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.12 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…55d0backed Heat | 22c | 11,048$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Heat | 38c | 11,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.96 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 30c | 10,979$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 35c | 10,948$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.49 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…f2d7backed Heat | 1c | 10,716$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heat | 35c | 10,100$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Hornets | 58c | 10,042$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.7 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…924fbacked Hornets | 60c | 10,001$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Hornets | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…f689backed Heat | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 73c | 9,669$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…5e3fbacked Heat | 43c | 8,860$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8427…6824backed Heat | 43c | 8,800$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…5513backed Hornets | 57c | 8,760$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…8e32backed Hornets | 57c | 8,760$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…1e9fbacked Hornets | 57c | 8,700$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…526ebacked Hornets | 57c | 8,700$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…6ebfbacked Heat | 43c | 8,660$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…01f5backed Heat | 43c | 8,600$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Hornets | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Heat | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hornets | 75c | 7,806$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.33 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 64c | 6,945$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Heat | 16c | 6,938$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.08 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Heat | 36c | 6,170$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 26c | 5,883$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Heat | 38c | 5,814$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.48 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 35c | 5,808$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.18 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Heat | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Heat | 36c | 5,461$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.84 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Hornets | 77c | 5,453$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.71 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…033abacked Heat | 37c | 5,300$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat | 37c | 5,122$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.25 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Heat | 36c | 5,000$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.66 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…33dfbacked Heat | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Heat | 35c | 4,750$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 0c | 4,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abf…977fbacked Hornets | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Heat | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets | 62c | 4,174$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.12 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e07…f048backed Heat | 35c | 4,135$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Heat | 22c | 4,126$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.43 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hornets | 66c | 4,121$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.14 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…c413backed Hornets | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…e539backed Heat | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Hornets | 62c | 3,936$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.68 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heat | 29c | 3,870$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.7 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Hornets | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 35c | 3,829$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 63c | 3,803$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.11 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 34c | 3,689$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.2 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Heat | 36c | 3,576$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.2 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Heat | 1c | 3,560$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Heat | 35c | 3,411$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…15e0backed Heat | 40c | 3,400$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…913dbacked Hornets | 60c | 3,390$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 35c | 3,304$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…6e7abacked Hornets | 60c | 3,276$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Heat | 32c | 3,270$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.32 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.