NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3c333104c12d031877c851414bf86e408528e681d752d2780a7ee7d904de87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,732 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 48c | 55,748$26,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,608.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 52c | 32,120$16,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,417.84 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Hornets | 53c | 18,575$9,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,730.27 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 49c | 16,396$7,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,956.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 52c | 12,764$6,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,134.22 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Heat | 48c | 11,987$5,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,753.65 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hornets | 51c | 10,000$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.15 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Hornets | 50c | 7,962$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.04 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 52c | 7,638$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.72 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 48c | 6,810$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 50c | 6,217$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 47c | 5,710$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Hornets | 53c | 5,661$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.81 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Heat | 48c | 5,063$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.13 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.12 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 52c | 4,770$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.18 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 50c | 4,140$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 51c | 3,307$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Heat | 47c | 3,017$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.54 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hornets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.95 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…e32dbacked Hornets | 48c | 2,363$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e4…42d8backed Hornets | 48c | 2,225$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…b893backed Heat | 52c | 2,141$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…f659backed Heat | 52c | 2,046$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…23ddbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,973$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 49c | 1,967$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Hornets | 52c | 1,967$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.18 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Hornets | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…f0d0backed Heat | 52c | 1,878$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…31efbacked Heat | 52c | 1,857$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f5…5463backed Heat | 52c | 1,834$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 54c | 1,779$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…0fcabacked Heat | 52c | 1,775$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…2da2backed Hornets | 48c | 1,759$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Hornets | 54c | 1,739$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.89 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Heat | 47c | 1,726$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.39 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed93…9029backed Heat | 52c | 1,725$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…b7e7backed Heat | 52c | 1,675$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…d42dbacked Heat | 52c | 1,642$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…042dbacked Heat | 52c | 1,625$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…8aadbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,551$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…6b23backed Hornets | 48c | 1,522$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896b…df63backed Heat | 53c | 1,475$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…35a1backed Heat | 53c | 1,425$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hornets | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Hornets | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 48c | 1,136$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Hornets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Heat | 47c | 991$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.58 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…d3e4backed Hornets | 48c | 917$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Heat | 53c | 896$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.87 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 50c | 867.68$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 53c | 860$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Hornets | 47c | 858.95$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.22 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d0…c929backed Heat | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Hornets | 49c | 836.88$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.81 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…642cbacked Heat | 53c | 747$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…aa74backed Heat | 53c | 734$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Hornets | 47c | 722.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.13 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heat | 44c | 684.12$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Heat | 49c | 601.24$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Heat | 49c | 581$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Heat | 24c | 571.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Heat | 48c | 558.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Hornets | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 52c | 531$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 68c | 513.89$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Heat | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 46c | 499.05$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Hornets | 60c | 497.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Heat | 48c | 440.79$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Heat | 47c | 420.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…3768backed Hornets | 48c | 410$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Heat | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Hornets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b96…500cbacked Hornets | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efa…8fd9backed Hornets | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Heat | 55c | 381.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1696…5192backed Hornets | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed Hornets | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Heat | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets | 48c | 377.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.63 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…e81ebacked Hornets | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Hornets | 49c | 370.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Hornets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c7b5backed Hornets | 48c | 370$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7283…1e6bbacked Hornets | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…e51dbacked Hornets | 48c | 360$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…5982backed Hornets | 48c | 355$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets | 52c | 351.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbc…6044backed Hornets | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…17b0backed Hornets | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…9a03backed Hornets | 48c | 345$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Heat | 45c | 341.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…4be9backed Hornets | 47c | 340$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.