TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,732 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat48c55,748$26,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,608.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets52c32,120$16,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,417.841,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Hornets53c18,575$9,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,730.273946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat49c16,396$7,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,956.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets52c12,764$6,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,134.221,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Heat48c11,987$5,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,753.6556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hornets51c10,000$5,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.1537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hornets50c7,962$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,981.0436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets52c7,638$3,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.7274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat48c6,810$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets50c6,217$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.21,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat47c5,710$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Hornets53c5,661$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.819547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Heat48c5,063$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.1323147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.121,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hornets52c4,770$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.181,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat50c4,140$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.681,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00017050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets51c3,307$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Heat47c3,017$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.5434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hornets53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…e32dbacked Hornets48c2,363$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e4…42d8backed Hornets48c2,225$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb862…b893backed Heat52c2,141$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5c…f659backed Heat52c2,046$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…23ddbacked Hornets48c1,973$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat49c1,967$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Hornets52c1,967$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.1837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Hornets54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.994052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3239…f0d0backed Heat52c1,878$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb703…31efbacked Heat52c1,857$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f5…5463backed Heat52c1,834$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets54c1,779$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.132,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05e…0fcabacked Heat52c1,775$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…2da2backed Hornets48c1,759$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3b…bac1backed Hornets54c1,739$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.893066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Heat47c1,726$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed93…9029backed Heat52c1,725$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa525…b7e7backed Heat52c1,675$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff4…d42dbacked Heat52c1,642$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de3…042dbacked Heat52c1,625$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b9…8aadbacked Hornets48c1,551$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafad…6b23backed Hornets48c1,522$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896b…df63backed Heat53c1,475$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bd…35a1backed Heat53c1,425$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hornets48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65058347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Hornets49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61210251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat48c1,136$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.553,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hornets53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Hornets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46018651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Heat47c991$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…d3e4backed Hornets48c917$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Heat53c896$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.876439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets50c867.68$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat53c860$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Hornets47c858.95$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.2219346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d0…c929backed Heat53c850$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Hornets49c836.88$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8123850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066a…642cbacked Heat53c747$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…aa74backed Heat53c734$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Hornets47c722.88$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1312745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heat44c684.12$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.472,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Heat49c601.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.611,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Heat49c581$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Heat24c571.36$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13521443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Heat48c558.43$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Hornets54c555$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.323553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets52c531$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.881,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets68c513.89$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Heat45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat46c499.05$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Hornets60c497.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.312425%6 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Heat48c440.79$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5822154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Heat47c420.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8451451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec1…3768backed Hornets48c410$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Heat50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Hornets50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b96…500cbacked Hornets48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3efa…8fd9backed Hornets48c390$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Heat55c381.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.56812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-78.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1696…5192backed Hornets48c380$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…aa45backed Hornets48c380$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Heat53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets48c377.25$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6345151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…e81ebacked Hornets48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Hornets49c370.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.68450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Hornets54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3736450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94dc…c7b5backed Hornets48c370$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7283…1e6bbacked Hornets48c365$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…e51dbacked Hornets48c360$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd954…5982backed Hornets48c355$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets52c351.4$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6738750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbc…6044backed Hornets48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a24…17b0backed Hornets47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…9a03backed Hornets48c345$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Heat45c341.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1921349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…4be9backed Hornets47c340$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.