TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,107 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c18,916$8,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,604.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c12,434$6,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c9,596$4,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,616.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under49c8,258$4,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,046.667240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd690…47febacked Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under48c7,800$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.0431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85eb…d452backed Over51c6,680$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2700…1b6dbacked Under49c6,394$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3efa…8fd9backed Over51c6,144$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x063c…86dfbacked Under49c6,140$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…71ebbacked Over51c6,140$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…aa45backed Over51c6,092$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c6,080$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.191,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…8b41backed Under49c5,946$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.54650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd954…5982backed Under49c5,877$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb49…e51dbacked Over51c5,816$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac8…78d2backed Under49c5,708$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…8124backed Under49c5,692$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94dc…c7b5backed Over51c5,608$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a4…79a4backed Over51c5,536$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8a…8921backed Over51c5,464$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a4…09d9backed Under49c5,388$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec1…3768backed Under49c5,318$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b96…500cbacked Under49c5,308$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de3…042dbacked Under49c5,110$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over55c5,000$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.5669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7b…268fbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa525…b7e7backed Over51c4,954$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7283…1e6bbacked Over51c4,948$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbc…6044backed Over51c4,940$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over52c4,908$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.0811156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f8…9a03backed Over51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1696…5192backed Under49c4,716$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed93…9029backed Under49c4,708$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05e…0fcabacked Under49c4,512$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b4…fff7backed Over51c3,844$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6388…1eccbacked Over51c3,602$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…14f1backed Over51c3,556$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…fb7cbacked Over51c3,222$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe70…574cbacked Under49c3,011$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa08c…0e02backed Under49c2,883$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5259…b22dbacked Under49c2,771$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9a…9f06backed Under49c2,713$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…e81ebacked Over51c2,642$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over54c2,540$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.69352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadac…8b40backed Over51c2,502$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8975…4fc8backed Over51c2,497$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0d…e30bbacked Over51c2,492$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…ba52backed Over51c2,474$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…269cbacked Over51c2,448$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2719…2ce6backed Over51c2,444$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919f…4813backed Over51c2,435$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4261backed Under49c2,433$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e6…0351backed Over51c2,423$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5b…b4c8backed Over51c2,391$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf0…c44dbacked Under49c2,387$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1a…3098backed Over51c2,384$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x350a…f032backed Under49c2,366$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d3…2250backed Under49c2,363$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a36…e2d2backed Under49c2,323$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1e…5c60backed Under49c2,294$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…fa98backed Over51c2,227$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2578…1509backed Under49c2,212$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda8…03f4backed Over51c2,211$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x278d…cfbcbacked Under49c2,166$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…4d0bbacked Under49c2,165$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa706…7deabacked Under49c2,151$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4441…b10dbacked Under49c2,124$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0e…6d2abacked Under49c2,115$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…9b2abacked Over51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c2,092$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe879…412ebacked Over51c2,078$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under47c2,061$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.5924942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25cd…abe0backed Under49c2,052$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…274fbacked Over51c2,041$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d28…8234backed Under49c2,005$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c4…680cbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4239…b1aebacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71db…3857backed Under49c1,885$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be9…576fbacked Under49c1,873$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ad…080fbacked Over51c1,857$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4758…1f44backed Under49c1,844$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x372a…6638backed Over51c1,823$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ee…56c3backed Over51c1,823$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x964f…1dc8backed Under49c1,801$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826a…6441backed Over51c1,799$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over73c1,757$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bda…aa47backed Under49c1,755$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x753d…41cebacked Over51c1,723$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…9632backed Under49c1,723$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c1,715$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.212,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,714$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c6…2d15backed Under49c1,702$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ca…a7e7backed Over51c1,693$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c6…54f7backed Under49c1,666$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a7…bb6abacked Under49c1,658$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab2…32b9backed Under49c1,655$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1460…ffd9backed Under49c1,639$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.