NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01016cf7e1f00ab27e77e3c42ee19a3010a1ed2d008061c4330058bfb24b250a

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Hornets, Heat
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $119,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,509 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets	48c	28,866$13,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,033.2	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	52c	28,411$14,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,773.47	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets	48c	21,872$10,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,373.43	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,400	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets	48c	12,000$5,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,240	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Heat	52c	11,000$5,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,720	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	52c	11,000$5,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,679.98	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Heat	52c	9,778$5,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,084.73	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Hornets	48c	8,333$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,333.33	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Hornets	48c	8,300$3,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,316	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Heat	52c	5,250$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Heat	52c	4,219$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,194.04	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,079.99	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets	49c	3,692$1,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.06	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	51c	2,575$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.39	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Hornets	48c	2,560$1,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.2	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Hornets	48c	2,070$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.24	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hornets	49c	1,700$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.98	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	52c	1,415$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.8	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Heat	51c	1,358$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.24	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Heat	48c	1,225$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.57	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hornets	48c	1,094$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.42	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets	49c	1,064$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.56	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Hornets	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hornets	48c	999.99$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets	51c	961.69$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.33	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Heat	55c	910$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Heat	52c	769$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.88	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Heat	57c	701.96$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Hornets	55c	638.16$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.17	196	50.5%99 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Heat	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Heat	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Heat	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Heat	50c	302.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Heat	51c	300$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Hornets	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	211	39.8%84 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Hornets	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	283	48.8%138 W · 145 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Hornets	48c	290.05$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.32	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Hornets	49c	290$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.9	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets	47c	274.68$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.58	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Hornets	49c	265.31$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.31	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.3	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets	48c	248.53$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.24	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	50c	241.66$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.04	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Heat	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Heat	52c	211.54$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Hornets	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Heat	52c	203.44$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.79	221	54.8%121 W · 100 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Heat	53c	196.23$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	181	43.1%78 W · 103 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	45c	194.93$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Heat	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Heat	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed Hornets	59c	180.99$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.49	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	48c	168.73$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.99	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d5…531bbacked Heat	48c	156.25$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.29per pick	53cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Hornets	49c	145$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.95	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Hornets	49c	137.04$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.74	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Heat	52c	105$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Heat	52c	104$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.08	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Hornets	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Hornets	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Heat	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+9.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Heat	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Heat	49c	98.7$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.81	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Heat	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Heat	52c	90$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb612…2df3backed Heat	53c	86$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.58	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets	49c	79.56$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.24	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Heat	53c	78.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.66	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets	48c	75.89$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.67	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Hornets	48c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Hornets	49c	72.51$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.98	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hornets	49c	72.51$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.98	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Heat	52c	67.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Hornets	49c	66.5$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.92	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Hornets	62c	64.52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.52	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6b…e84bbacked Hornets	45c	62.5$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.54	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Heat	42c	62.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.38	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Hornets	49c	61.4$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d94…954ebacked Hornets	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Heat	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heat	44c	52.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.13	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Hornets	45c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.7	69	69.6%48 W · 21 L	+10.3wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Heat	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets	52c	49.38$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.67	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Heat	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Heat	52c	48.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Hornets	48c	48.03$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.9	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Heat	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Heat	52c	46.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	378	45%170 W · 208 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hornets	45c	42.79$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.66	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Heat	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	372	53.5%199 W · 173 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Heat	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Hornets	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	144	50%72 W · 72 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Heat	52c	34.32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Heat	53c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Hornets	48c	31.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.12	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Heat	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Heat won
1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 21.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Over won
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event