NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa0959cc2ef54d58e468f79469f4a6a21d0b22094aeae0442dedd9f4ce63aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef41…c26ebacked Heat | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…85f7backed Hornets | 52c | 5,096$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…68b9backed Hornets | 52c | 4,904$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…21c7backed Heat | 48c | 4,792$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…c804backed Hornets | 52c | 4,601$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc154…4c97backed Hornets | 52c | 4,414$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…cee7backed Hornets | 52c | 4,411$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x996e…e382backed Hornets | 52c | 4,202$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Heat | 48c | 3,861$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.1 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 53c | 3,474$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…1841backed Hornets | 52c | 3,255$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…7e20backed Hornets | 52c | 3,223$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb685…7f1abacked Hornets | 52c | 3,075$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…865ebacked Hornets | 52c | 2,468$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…38f9backed Heat | 48c | 2,468$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…1cc1backed Heat | 48c | 2,453$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…f54cbacked Heat | 48c | 2,445$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…f392backed Hornets | 52c | 2,420$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…40debacked Hornets | 52c | 2,416$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213b…ec79backed Hornets | 52c | 2,388$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…8dfabacked Heat | 48c | 2,310$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd135…2b2abacked Hornets | 52c | 2,273$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…3df4backed Heat | 48c | 2,272$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…620ebacked Hornets | 52c | 2,249$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…61e1backed Heat | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…2d54backed Heat | 48c | 2,229$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Hornets | 50c | 2,209$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +183%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…b9c0backed Hornets | 52c | 2,162$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…2722backed Heat | 48c | 2,143$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5491…6195backed Heat | 48c | 2,114$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 45c | 2,070$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…0286backed Heat | 48c | 2,058$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…8965backed Heat | 48c | 2,056$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…3cc2backed Heat | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Hornets | 51c | 2,050$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.94 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 51c | 2,048$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…ea6bbacked Heat | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…b2afbacked Heat | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…8b24backed Heat | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c9…eb83backed Heat | 48c | 2,021$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…bd5abacked Heat | 48c | 2,020$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…459dbacked Heat | 48c | 2,006$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…dd1bbacked Hornets | 52c | 2,001$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…a463backed Hornets | 52c | 1,943$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…dc35backed Hornets | 52c | 1,932$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 53c | 1,928$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…82fdbacked Heat | 48c | 1,919$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Heat | 47c | 1,913$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…5d2cbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,910$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…ade3backed Hornets | 52c | 1,889$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…92fdbacked Heat | 48c | 1,862$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…3499backed Hornets | 52c | 1,842$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…2608backed Hornets | 52c | 1,839$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…bf86backed Heat | 48c | 1,816$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444b…ad63backed Heat | 48c | 1,811$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…ef78backed Hornets | 52c | 1,801$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…ef9abacked Heat | 48c | 1,755$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…9f60backed Hornets | 52c | 1,751$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…05adbacked Heat | 48c | 1,722$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…000abacked Hornets | 52c | 1,721$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…f0bdbacked Heat | 48c | 1,717$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…f94dbacked Heat | 48c | 1,717$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…393bbacked Heat | 48c | 1,706$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…9240backed Hornets | 52c | 1,699$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…faa7backed Heat | 48c | 1,694$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…de3fbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,688$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…cbcdbacked Heat | 48c | 1,644$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…ae70backed Heat | 48c | 1,636$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…42c8backed Heat | 48c | 1,633$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…4332backed Heat | 48c | 1,616$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…1392backed Hornets | 52c | 1,549$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…3859backed Heat | 48c | 1,539$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…486dbacked Heat | 48c | 1,504$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…4624backed Heat | 46c | 1,313$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bce…de3cbacked Heat | 48c | 1,211$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Heat | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 53c | 814.04$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.74 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 49c | 810.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hornets | 54c | 783.05$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.86 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Heat | 48c | 629.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 43c | 565.83$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Hornets | 54c | 556.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.39 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 55c | 496.36$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.76 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 43c | 472.41$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…5a5abacked Hornets | 52c | 460$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heat | 43c | 447.56$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed Hornets | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hornets | 52c | 421.36$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Heat | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Heat | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Heat | 46c | 376$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Heat | 42c | 368.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 53c | 362.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…73d9backed Hornets | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 57c | 347.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…e739backed Heat | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Heat | 46c | 338.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Heat | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.