TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,912 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Over53c63,522$33,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,101.38944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c27,881$12,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,864.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c17,329$8,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,074.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c13,979$6,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,736.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over56c12,000$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2807759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c11,153$5,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,432.132,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…f4b2backed Over48c6,834$3,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa663…b5cbbacked Under51c6,258$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under47c6,214$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9201020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c6,112$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffef…5905backed Over49c6,036$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4dd…e8cebacked Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9e…25bbbacked Under52c5,830$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x894e…56f9backed Under51c5,708$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e82…49c4backed Over48c5,678$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcac8…59ebbacked Over48c5,496$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x712c…ac4cbacked Under52c5,492$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc222…5723backed Over48c5,463$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dd…ab7cbacked Under52c5,330$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9740…db3ebacked Under52c5,310$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833e…6d09backed Over48c5,286$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6014…7ed9backed Over49c5,276$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0926…c096backed Under52c5,272$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1bd…35a1backed Over48c5,192$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…4be9backed Under52c5,166$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896b…df63backed Under52c5,108$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a24…17b0backed Over48c5,020$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c5,000$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…b96fbacked Over48c4,936$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fee…eafdbacked Under52c4,894$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7160…94ffbacked Over48c4,830$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532b…9f85backed Over48c4,794$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db3…caa7backed Under52c4,788$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5abb…472bbacked Under52c4,574$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7748…95d9backed Over48c4,455$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7d…2270backed Under52c4,322$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Under47c4,258$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.265843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9736…3ffabacked Over48c4,022$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b8…f53abacked Over48c3,968$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…c9c8backed Under52c3,932$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5734854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x312e…cff7backed Under52c3,877$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over56c3,750$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6507963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb80…a2a3backed Over48c3,687$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…03e8backed Over48c3,670$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…ee8abacked Under52c3,635$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf507…1a1bbacked Under52c3,425$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e6…b3f3backed Under52c3,322$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over51c2,844$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.555547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f6…f715backed Under52c2,788$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under53c2,589$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.3770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c2,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1104,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ff…1cf9backed Over48c2,466$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6514…9d07backed Under52c2,411$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f8…8d2bbacked Over48c2,369$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4019…2192backed Under52c2,366$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ac4…86fdbacked Under52c2,365$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…4719backed Over48c2,343$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a81…7f7ebacked Over48c2,342$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf962…3de8backed Over48c2,329$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecb…590abacked Over48c2,275$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…9642backed Under52c2,257$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f9c…9eb9backed Under52c2,198$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f0a…6c51backed Over48c2,182$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1329…d5c2backed Over48c2,166$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…2878backed Under52c2,163$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab3…be3dbacked Over48c2,153$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030f…1aecbacked Over48c2,139$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7c…e9c6backed Under52c2,123$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117f…185ebacked Under52c2,121$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e4…5720backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9daf…7a5cbacked Under52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c46…2305backed Under52c2,049$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670f…0d42backed Under52c2,030$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf871…ea46backed Over48c2,008$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab43…54febacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1d…b062backed Under52c1,988$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04da…2477backed Over48c1,965$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d6…6acfbacked Over48c1,952$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe279…7db2backed Under52c1,922$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2842…4f84backed Over48c1,898$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4823…a48bbacked Over55c1,894$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.691275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0bc…de21backed Over48c1,854$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd6…bfb7backed Over48c1,852$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ee…608bbacked Under52c1,835$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10e4…3953backed Over48c1,804$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,723$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761b…86c5backed Under52c1,686$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab09…d4dfbacked Under52c1,666$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over50c1,640$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8203548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed7…89febacked Over48c1,633$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb275…8c41backed Over48c1,622$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee71…6b26backed Over48c1,611$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f51…025dbacked Over48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e9…821fbacked Under52c1,588$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b72…c454backed Over48c1,585$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a44…7a87backed Under52c1,582$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab7…924fbacked Over48c1,535$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba1…c23fbacked Over48c1,522$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over54c1,509$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.1443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.