NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81536a23ab5718a46e1790dc2c32b994702d0ce773de5ad9069e895beafda504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 129,201$67,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,016.68 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 56,795$27,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,111.85 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 56,439$27,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,018.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 43,656$20,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,831.63 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.98 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 21,303$10,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,110.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Under | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 47c | 19,000$8,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,929.98 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…d9fabacked Under | 0c | 14,620$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Under | 46c | 7,852$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…f57fbacked Over | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…4428backed Over | 53c | 5,639$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 46c | 4,880$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.8 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 51c | 4,872$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.36 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 4,537$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…8b9bbacked Over | 52c | 4,311$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Under | 49c | 3,980$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 46c | 3,967$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.82 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 47c | 3,292$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.46 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…7a80backed Over | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 2,723$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.35 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 2,486$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.27 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 2,342$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.58 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 2,339$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.01 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 49c | 1,612$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.83 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Under | 49c | 995$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 53c | 988$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 662.73$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Over | 52c | 616$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Under | 48c | 602.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.97 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 80c | 601.17$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 52c | 566.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 531.25$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 498.8$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 53c | 443.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 12c | 428.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Over | 53c | 410.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.91 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 54c | 406.81$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Over | 53c | 406.58$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 398.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Over | 51c | 388.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 47c | 321$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed Under | 47c | 321$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Under | 47c | 320.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked Under | 49c | 315.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…505fbacked Under | 48c | 310.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 308.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 48c | 297$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…3c08backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 261.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 239.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Over | 54c | 235$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 229.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 208$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 53c | 183.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 170.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Under | 47c | 161$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Under | 47c | 155.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 149.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Under | 48c | 148$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 53c | 119.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 108.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 65c | 108.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 53c | 108$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 53c | 102.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb92b…cc3fbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 50c | 97.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 53c | 91.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 90.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 53c | 89.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Heat won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Heat vs. HornetsHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Hornets won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.