TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x190f…01f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT9150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.24
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.21
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.79
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.86
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.79
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$206.44
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.72
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.4
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.61
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.86
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$122.85
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.22
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$170.28
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.97
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.24
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.5
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.03
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.93
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.97
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.1
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$155.55
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.7
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.93
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.13
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.12
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$159.59
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.14
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.31
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$155.14
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$173.68
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid-24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.89
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.