MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6dbbd034d67b028a5acc8246b51affaa5c6fc2ce94a4593cfde55af354306b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 19,002$12,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 18,302$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,601.82 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 14,059$7,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.03 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 12,700$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.02 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 12,601$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,796.64 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 12,396$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 11,512$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,437.19 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 9,978$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.53 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 9,354$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 8,508$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kansas City Royals | 80c | 7,313$5,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.78 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 6,529$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.48 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 6,310$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 5,834$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.82 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 5,321$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.32 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 5,168$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 5,011$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…64bbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 4,650$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 4,362$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.22 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 4,317$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.02 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 3,939$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.52 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 3,841$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 3,832$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.04 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,771$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.44 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 3,482$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.68 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 3,474$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.09 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 3,172$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 2,900$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.32 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,708$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.86 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,524$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.12 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,468$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.66 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,431$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.26 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,419$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.34 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 2,296$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.15 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,240$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 2,017$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,974$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,815$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.86 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 1,517$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,468$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.13 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,452$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 1,306$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,157$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…9f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 1,102$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.63 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 986.83$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.94 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 937.61$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 920.22$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.02 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 865.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 861.83$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 829.07$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.64 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 826.3$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.4 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 818.86$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.77 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 800.58$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 798.77$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 679.08$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.67 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 639.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.05 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 624.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 619.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 613.13$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.88 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 610.76$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.73 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 580.91$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 559.19$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.21 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 511.39$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…b3f1backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 460.47$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 458.22$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.78 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 434.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 433.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 425.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 425.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 405.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 387.89$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 387.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 370.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.27 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 350.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 322.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 313$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.4 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 312.85$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.23 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 305.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 297.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 293.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 290.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.