TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9f0…b3f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.2
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$311.24
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,791Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$696.6
LoL: 7REX vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$482.03
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
LoL: Myth Esports vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked ZennIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$428.38
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$382.49
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$370.39
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$214.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$752.43
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$356.07
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$437.85
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+92.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.22
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.01
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.