MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93251fc856a6daeb9e6563ba962c3ab72462aefdc549dabf2808a7d9052f6306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 48,700$27,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,822.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 36,738$11,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,893.36 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 24,295$12,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,876.35 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 21,769$10,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,537.58 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 20,791$10,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,811.5 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 18,096$8,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,175.4 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 13,911$7,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,285.68 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 10,852$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 9,483$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.36 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 9,279$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.9 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 9,197$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 6,160$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,236$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.13 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,198$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.87 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 5,117$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 5,090$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 4,712$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 4,465$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.05 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 4,290$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.53 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 3,893$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.25 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,852$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,065$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.86 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 2,938$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,763$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.8 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,422$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.44 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,266$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.43 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 2,017$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.34 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,774$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.11 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,725$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.06 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,707$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.64 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,668$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.13 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,610$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.36 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,592$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,435$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.41 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 1,338$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 1,183$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,159$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,106$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.92 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 1,075$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.73 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,049$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.41 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,026$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.14 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 999.81$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.9 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 977.46$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 889.33$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 855.59$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.61 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 820.14$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.6 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 799.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 742.78$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.72 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 727.5$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 699.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 699.46$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 691.16$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 690.73$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 675.96$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 647.57$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.79 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 15c | 616.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 611.56$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 589.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 546.89$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 513.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 508.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 494.39$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 483.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 475.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 475.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 469.66$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 461.32$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Miami Marlins | 13c | 442.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 441.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 431.18$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 417$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…b3f1backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 386.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 367.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 345.01$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 334.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 326.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 322.81$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 314.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 310.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 307.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 305.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.