TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9116…f76a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 65 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$699.4
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$224.6
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.53
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.9
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$264.71
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,447.49
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.53
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$352.94
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$207.09
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$892.36
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.2
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$176.07
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.98
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$844.46
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$497.56
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+193.1%+$602.8
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.78
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$275.6
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$107.72
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$363.75
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$466.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$212.43
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+129.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,569Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,080.4
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$938.84
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.33
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$438.17
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.07
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.62
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$922.63
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.2
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,034.15
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$333.22
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$504.48
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$953.8
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$854.76
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$2,016.63
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$3,473.07
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$279.42
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$838.25
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.9
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.5
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.78
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$199.02
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$262.38
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$746.17
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$560.31
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.63
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.53
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$173.51
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+291%+$4,517.42
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$487.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.58
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,333.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.