NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a9acb457b3567dd8d1cacaa400ae6aec8e63f858a4560afdb612161e43e57c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,354,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,635,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,354,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Timberwolves | 27c | 546,472$147,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398,924.59 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 29c | 235,017$67,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,470.04 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Nuggets | 73c | 222,963$162,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,762.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 62c | 168,335$104,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,340.67 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 76c | 162,959$123,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,760.55 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…6056backed Nuggets | 74c | 150,440$110,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,671.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…b19abacked Timberwolves | 21c | 118,159$24,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,350.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 37c | 115,618$43,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,406.85 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 115,128$84,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,043.22 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Nuggets | 68c | 109,859$74,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,281.02 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves | 29c | 94,874$27,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,585.42 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 85,429$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,508.57 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Nuggets | 80c | 81,680$65,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,111.22 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 72c | 80,984$58,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,105.73 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Timberwolves | 26c | 80,770$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,769.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Timberwolves | 23c | 72,309$16,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,405.3 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Nuggets | 75c | 71,875$53,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,888.18 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…0406backed Nuggets | 11c | 70,562$7,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,954.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 60c | 66,098$39,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,597.68 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Timberwolves | 27c | 65,352$17,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,706.86 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…c991backed Nuggets | 75c | 60,044$45,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,239.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 30c | 55,743$16,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,189.64 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Timberwolves | 40c | 49,538$19,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,701.74 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Nuggets | 73c | 49,190$35,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,908.7 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 48,711$13,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,558.83 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 40c | 48,551$19,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,095 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Nuggets | 70c | 47,689$33,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,510.56 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Timberwolves | 13c | 47,196$6,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,107.49 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 60c | 43,532$26,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,243.21 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Nuggets | 73c | 39,352$28,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,726.96 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Timberwolves | 26c | 38,640$9,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,738.62 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 72c | 37,972$27,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,320.69 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Nuggets | 58c | 35,536$20,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,661.12 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Timberwolves | 28c | 35,402$9,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,489.15 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 32,282$8,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,888.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 49c | 30,220$14,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,879.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Nuggets | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Nuggets | 73c | 27,564$20,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,121.66 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 27,429$11,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,875.33 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 25,375$9,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,811.21 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 25,235$18,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,345.06 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Nuggets | 73c | 25,000$18,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,149.86 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Nuggets | 73c | 24,479$17,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,869.89 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Nuggets | 72c | 23,982$17,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,308.46 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Nuggets | 70c | 23,000$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,099.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Nuggets | 70c | 22,910$16,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,037.26 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 70c | 22,854$15,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,998.12 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 28c | 22,053$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,786.55 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 73c | 21,657$15,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,801.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 20,461$14,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,923.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Nuggets | 73c | 20,431$14,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,929.27 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 20,372$7,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,953.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Nuggets | 39c | 20,254$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,842.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Nuggets | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,600 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 32c | 19,502$6,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,261.62 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Nuggets | 72c | 18,000$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,959.94 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 17,024$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,874.39 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 16,043$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,252.99 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Nuggets | 73c | 15,494$11,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,310.56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Timberwolves | 9c | 15,120$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,759.22 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Timberwolves | 27c | 14,197$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,363.71 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Timberwolves | 21c | 14,193$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,234.73 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…76cbbacked Nuggets | 0c | 14,089$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 82 | 72%59 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nuggets | 57c | 13,799$7,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,908.08 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Nuggets | 64c | 13,326$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,477.18 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Timberwolves | 27c | 13,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,490 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 26c | 12,904$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,548.75 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 61c | 12,254$7,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,438.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 33c | 12,183$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,133.59 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Nuggets | 60c | 12,000$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.97 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…abe4backed Nuggets | 0c | 11,469$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Timberwolves | 30c | 11,303$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,912.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 26c | 11,243$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.61 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Timberwolves | 33c | 10,665$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.01 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Nuggets | 73c | 10,108$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,378.5 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Timberwolves | 27c | 10,093$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,367.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Nuggets | 59c | 10,085$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.94 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Nuggets | 72c | 9,975$7,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,201.64 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Timberwolves | 26c | 9,891$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,311.55 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Timberwolves | 40c | 9,880$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Timberwolves | 33c | 9,816$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,605.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Timberwolves | 28c | 9,568$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888.96 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 11c | 9,466$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,429.21 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Timberwolves | 40c | 9,111$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.21 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Timberwolves | 23c | 9,032$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 17c | 8,550$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,123.8 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 48c | 8,374$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.13 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Nuggets | 73c | 8,287$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.2 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…07a9backed Nuggets | 59c | 8,266$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,004$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.75 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Nuggets | 61c | 7,984$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.5 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Timberwolves | 19c | 7,900$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.98 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nuggets | 56c | 7,717$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.91 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Timberwolves | 28c | 7,705$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.68 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Nuggets | 74c | 7,637$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.11 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 71c | 7,372$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Timberwolves | 13c | 7,233$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,323.15 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Nuggets | 71c | 7,112$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.3 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.