TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,085 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7200…9299backed No55c888.68$493 inLost-$492.8836954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Yes54c540.22$292 inWon+$248.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No46c318.7$147 inLost-$146.811,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No46c211.22$97 inLost-$97.1676247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…9a36backed Yes50c199.46$100 inWon+$99.733151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+91.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes42c192.98$80 inWon+$112.8976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed No50c188.07$94 inLost-$93.98333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No46c185.19$85 inLost-$85.195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Yes54c180.07$97 inWon+$82.836836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes50c160$80 inWon+$8056050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31fe…ad2dbacked Yes44c107.22$47 inWon+$59.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes44c94.44$42 inWon+$52.8890863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yes43c90.09$39 inWon+$51.4614445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ce…a3f0backed Yes53c89.66$47 inWon+$42.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Yes49c78.93$38 inWon+$40.520146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No47c74.99$35 inLost-$35.2536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes42c41.47$17 inWon+$24.0541050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No56c32.06$18 inLost-$185541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No48c29.99$14 inLost-$14.437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…f97abacked No52c29.13$15 inLost-$15.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No46c22.22$10 inLost-$10.2214052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No65c19.98$13 inLost-$12.9919555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.