NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19b55606e5a10e55e89af50821a2d583559b642cc41d5a3e6f8bdfcf8a4be2bc

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $727,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $823,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets	50c	92,320$45,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,977.64	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…76adbacked Nuggets	51c	69,265$35,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,324.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves	49c	60,000$29,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,600	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves	51c	47,578$24,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,313.43	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Nuggets	50c	45,192$22,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,595.89	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Timberwolves	49c	44,546$21,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,718.7	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Timberwolves	50c	37,306$18,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,653.08	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets	49c	34,933$17,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,117.27	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves	51c	34,111$17,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,748.06	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets	50c	30,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves	50c	27,653$13,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,826.44	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Timberwolves	51c	27,495$14,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,472.51	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets	50c	23,280$11,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,640	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves	50c	20,000$9,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,099.91	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves	54c	17,665$9,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,105.8	271	63.5%172 W · 99 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets	46c	13,974$6,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,456.87	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Timberwolves	49c	12,411$6,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,291.69	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves	50c	12,372$6,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,189.7	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Timberwolves	55c	12,228$6,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,549	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Timberwolves	49c	12,217$6,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,186.46	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Nuggets	51c	12,116$6,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,165.91	118	64.4%76 W · 42 L	+15.6wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets	48c	11,715$5,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,622.53	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Timberwolves	57c	10,912$6,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,650.36	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Timberwolves	50c	9,700$4,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,850	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets	49c	9,342$4,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,579.14	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Nuggets	51c	7,614$3,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,883.31	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves	49c	6,674$3,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,403.85	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Timberwolves	51c	6,649$3,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,257.82	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Timberwolves	30c	6,002$1,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200.82	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…d0b5backed Nuggets	51c	5,918$3,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,012.77	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Timberwolves	51c	5,848$2,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,865.45	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	47c	5,735$2,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,709.94	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Nuggets	51c	5,717$2,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,915.59	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets	70c	5,554$3,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,891.44	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Nuggets	56c	4,918$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730.17	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets	42c	4,684$1,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,984.09	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Nuggets	50c	4,656$2,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,328	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Timberwolves	52c	4,619$2,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,217.2	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Timberwolves	50c	4,269$2,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,134.56	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Nuggets	69c	4,261$2,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,945.65	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves	49c	4,165$2,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,130.21	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets	51c	3,921$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.71	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves	50c	3,880$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Nuggets	51c	3,806$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.2	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves	50c	3,797$1,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,898.29	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nuggets	49c	3,750$1,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.57	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Timberwolves	65c	3,601$2,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.9	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-5.3wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Timberwolves	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Nuggets	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5856…d005backed Timberwolves	70c	2,937$2,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.17	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves	62c	2,932$1,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.01	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Nuggets	50c	2,910$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Nuggets	33c	2,877$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.6	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Timberwolves	49c	2,850$1,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.5	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets	50c	2,800$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.02	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Timberwolves	50c	2,756$1,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,378.1	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Timberwolves	51c	2,666$1,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.75	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	50c	2,618$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,298.1	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	47c	2,401$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.04	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Timberwolves	31c	2,378$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,637.79	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuggets	48c	2,274$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.49	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Nuggets	31c	2,233$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.21	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets	44c	2,178$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.96	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets	17c	2,025$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.64	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets	51c	2,024$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.76	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.04	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves	50c	1,940$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Nuggets	46c	1,802$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.97	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Timberwolves	51c	1,523$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.03	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Timberwolves	64c	1,507$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.6	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Nuggets	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Nuggets	36c	1,471$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.43	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets	46c	1,409$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.13	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Timberwolves	76c	1,380$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.16	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Timberwolves	52c	1,360$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.93	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Nuggets	50c	1,358$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.21	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves	53c	1,316$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.17	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Timberwolves	51c	1,165$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.8	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Timberwolves	50c	1,164$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…dbe6backed Nuggets	59c	1,117$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.62	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nuggets	69c	1,115$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.09	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Nuggets	47c	1,080$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.59	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Nuggets	51c	1,047$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.83	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Timberwolves	47c	1,032$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.58	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Nuggets	51c	1,030$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.2	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Timberwolves	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Timberwolves	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a4b…c943backed Nuggets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Nuggets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nuggets	50c	999.3$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.65	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Timberwolves	50c	976.77$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.8	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Nuggets	51c	970.6$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.01	133	39.1%52 W · 81 L	-11.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Nuggets	51c	970.6$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.01	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Timberwolves	50c	970$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nuggets	50c	970$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Timberwolves	50c	970$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Timberwolves	50c	970$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event