NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fa0893b69ce91d8d9398972adddf5bcc77aced08308b86b826d542e44b1656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $503,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 308,897$159,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,328.92 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 48c | 211,128$101,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,341.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 79,170$40,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,709.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Under | 49c | 43,924$21,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,323.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 48c | 26,870$12,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,972.26 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 24,218$11,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,824.66 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 49c | 22,969$11,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,714.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 19,328$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,327.55 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 49c | 17,449$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550.11 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 14,384$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.02 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 12,072$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 10,205$5,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.49 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 50c | 5,918$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.06 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 48c | 5,694$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.98 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.7 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 3,691$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.58 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 48c | 3,603$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.3 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 62c | 3,101$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.09 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Under | 23c | 3,066$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.65 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 1,838$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.28 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 51c | 1,523$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.48 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 31c | 1,415$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.68 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,357$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.78 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 48c | 1,334$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.38 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 1,277$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 59c | 1,182$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.22 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 12c | 1,133$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Under | 49c | 1,114$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.95 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 53c | 1,080$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.52 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,058$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Under | 11c | 995.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Over | 51c | 888$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 50c | 793.51$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.69 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 19c | 786.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 50c | 750.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 725$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.35 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Over | 51c | 665.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.56 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 648.64$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…df0ebacked Under | 47c | 543.73$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 537.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.33 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 5c | 528.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 517.43$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 458.57$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 32c | 450.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 447.72$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 431.2$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 51c | 427.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 414.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…d5b0backed Over | 52c | 413.56$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 49c | 409.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Over | 52c | 381.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 48c | 379.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Under | 13c | 314.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 50c | 283.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 48c | 257.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 238.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 44c | 238.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 233.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 67c | 224.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 59c | 215.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…01f3backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…ebcabacked Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…6886backed Under | 19c | 198.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…8396backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Under | 13c | 196.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 195.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…e2b9backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…a2fabacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Under | 32c | 188.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 52c | 187.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 10c | 186.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 71c | 184.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 53c | 182.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Under | 54c | 181.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 27c | 171.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.