NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7736944e4801fc580e1c56d5d10d618bd5b1fe3bfa66bf5d820eb1fd09023bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 517 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3625…1187backed Nuggets | 56c | 174,815$97,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,341.03 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 74,566$33,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,389.25 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 55,235$24,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,655 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves | 46c | 28,732$13,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,515.34 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 51c | 27,532$14,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,041.14 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 23,940$12,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,927.33 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 46c | 20,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,699.83 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 18,718$8,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,107.61 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 14,773$6,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,889.27 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Timberwolves | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.81 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 49c | 11,483$5,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,856.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,156$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.36 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 9,694$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 58c | 8,959$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.81 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Nuggets | 56c | 8,720$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.9 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 51c | 8,401$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.2 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 8,299$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 63c | 7,094$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.26 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Nuggets | 56c | 6,953$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.43 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Nuggets | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,904$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.15 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 5,903$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.63 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,735$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Nuggets | 51c | 5,709$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.8 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,406$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.56 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Nuggets | 70c | 5,083$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.97 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,949$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.17 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 4,501$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.78 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,423$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.5 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Nuggets | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,929$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.83 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,892$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.6 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 3,870$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.02 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,750$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd90…2541backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…3d96backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,503$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.54 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,406$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.03 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets | 60c | 3,097$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.14 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,919$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.45 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,829$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.78 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,762$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.01 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,667$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.94 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,521$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.72 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 55c | 2,433$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.88 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 2,264$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,192$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.12 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Nuggets | 64c | 2,144$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,069$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,906$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.26 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,897$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.36 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,862$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.98 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,801$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.07 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,639$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.92 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,605$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.63 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,565$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.54 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,524$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.84 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,506$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.4 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,450$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,361$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.09 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,261$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.68 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,207$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.79 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,159$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,157$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.07 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,122$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.78 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,079$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.53 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 985.75$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 974.07$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.06 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Nuggets | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Nuggets | 53c | 963$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nuggets | 37c | 949.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Nuggets | 52c | 932.35$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 917.35$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b4d4backed Nuggets | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 871.92$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.68 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Nuggets | 50c | 871.21$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.89 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 842.53$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Timberwolves | 46c | 829.47$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.81 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…860cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 758.84$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Nuggets | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Timberwolves | 47c | 754.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.9 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 748.44$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.87 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Timberwolves | 45c | 738.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.09 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Nuggets | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 718.19$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 23c | 713.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.88 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.