NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044b041979e6d97c1bbb9ae4cf58f2e8a039d3aec2788da7f74220a4016302d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3625…1187backed Under | 46c | 21,033$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676.02 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 45c | 13,498$6,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.72 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 10,874$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 7,582$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 55c | 6,087$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.35 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 21c | 4,738$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 4,069$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.18 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 68c | 3,320$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.67 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 65c | 3,090$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 2,984$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.39 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 56c | 2,552$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.04 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 14c | 2,375$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.79 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 2,273$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 55c | 1,904$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.71 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 61c | 1,887$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.74 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 38c | 1,877$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.73 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 55c | 1,754$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.53 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Over | 57c | 1,707$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa19…e444backed Over | 51c | 1,658$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.62 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 53c | 1,597$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.87 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,372$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 35c | 1,343$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 54c | 1,270$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.64 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 17c | 1,144$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 25c | 983.03$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Over | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 54c | 868$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.28 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 29c | 750.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 55c | 750.15$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 8c | 749.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 20c | 721.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 718.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Over | 56c | 695.67$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.95 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Under | 47c | 667.96$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.94 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 658.07$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.03 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Over | 57c | 598.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 12c | 554.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4f…ec14backed Under | 47c | 553.42$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 55c | 532.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.87 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Over | 45c | 499.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.96 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…78adbacked Over | 55c | 497.11$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…6e22backed Over | 57c | 491.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Under | 32c | 489.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Under | 9c | 486.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +92%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 35c | 445.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 66c | 443.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 409.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 405.83$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 46c | 403.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 400.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 46c | 393.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 46c | 393.04$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 391.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 63c | 372.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…0d5cbacked Under | 31c | 367.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Over | 55c | 354.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 58c | 338.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 55c | 328.48$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 45c | 319.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 67c | 313.94$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Over | 56c | 303.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 43c | 288.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 55c | 288.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 37c | 285.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 54c | 277.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 70c | 274.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 15c | 272.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 265.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 49c | 264.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Over | 80c | 242.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 232.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 47c | 219.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 31c | 219.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 218.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Under | 12c | 214.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…aec5backed Over | 56c | 214.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 44c | 212.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c7…8e77backed Under | 47c | 207.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ad…07f7backed Under | 47c | 207.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…f35cbacked Over | 54c | 204.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8708…c0b9backed Under | 48c | 204.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…1d10backed Under | 48c | 203.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Over | 55c | 201.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…4bf9backed Over | 53c | 199.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…3871backed Under | 17c | 191.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.