TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd06f…7bfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5714%8 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$182.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.54
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.91
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.07
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.27
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.45
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.76
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
England vs. Ghana: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
England vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$110.48
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+92%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,348.3%+$955.46
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.94
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.08
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.59
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.75
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.74
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$23.21
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$37.66
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+379.8%+$423.72
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+189.3%+$94.56
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.43
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.