Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef932dffb80cde21ace2c91d61182de1648f213cd33775cc39126d4f13180218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 2,204$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.44 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 18c | 1,607$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.22 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 1,536$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.32 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 1,107$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.9 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed Under | 31c | 828$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 50c | 657$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.68 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 630.95$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.03 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 27c | 446$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 17c | 327.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 77c | 315.97$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 18c | 261.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 78c | 212.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 46c | 141.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 134.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 39c | 117.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Over | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 54c | 109.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 17c | 103.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 36c | 72.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 61c | 61.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 33c | 61.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 21c | 59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 66c | 58.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…b131backed Under | 71c | 56.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 71c | 55.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 63c | 50.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 39.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Over | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under | 75c | 17.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.