Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e546629e5bd6a9c376b56c41d6afbc527b9622f633412abefeef14d9289a522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Over | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 61c | 1,750$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.5 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 51c | 1,214$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 1c | 1,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 32c | 875.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.94 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…4261backed Over | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 782.06$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.41 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 773.05$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 628.02$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 40c | 513.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.07 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 490$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 427.09$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.24 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 412.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Under | 66c | 378.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 361.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 299.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 61c | 292$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 286.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 69c | 266.79$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 32c | 239.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 192.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 188$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 61c | 183.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 135$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 56c | 129.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 65c | 123.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 44c | 92.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a527backed Over | 62c | 69.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 52c | 68.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 54c | 67.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 53.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 40c | 50.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 56c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 68c | 18.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 67c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d3bbbacked Under | 64c | 18.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.