Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc15849c47bed7bf3e22eb9addacc480212941f62d19544a63da5467fcf1bbe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 54c | 1,478$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.78 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 46c | 960.62$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 952.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 948.31$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.24 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Over | 56c | 839.04$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 44c | 773.91$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.52 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 664.46$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 56c | 658.72$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Over | 79c | 636.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 402.35$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 390.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 55c | 325.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 73c | 294.52$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 291.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Over | 58c | 276.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 40c | 266.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 263.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 22c | 256$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 199.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 43c | 166.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 125.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 45c | 114.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 64c | 85.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 21c | 68.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 80c | 57.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 59c | 46.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 46.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.