TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc740…217e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.32
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.84
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.02
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$235.22
CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$482
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+105%+$494.64
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,002.68
Club Necaxa vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,946.91
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed CD Guadalajara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$1,193.47
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$514.63
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.14
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+215%+$1,639.13
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.92
Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+81.5%+$512.78
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+223%+$790.11
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed CF Cruz Azul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+103.7%+$176.7
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$259.25
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$400.21
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.36
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.63
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$3,413.64
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.62
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.58
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Ipswich Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+105.6%+$105.6
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,202.79
Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$116.28
Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)backed Norwich City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.23
Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$37.21
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+234.4%+$2,337.77
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.21
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$710.4
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,627Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$2,379.65
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$601.68
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$582.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.4%+$134.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$91.25
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$106
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.07
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.05
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$101.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,073
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$8,188.06
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.47
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.39
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.17
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+105.2%+$110.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.