South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa503e7caa94445598efadd958cb3fa5bf21ebeaa0d4df0af4ed1059bb3b52b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 33c | 17,230$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.06 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 2,707$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.91 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,162$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 926.48$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.37 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 884.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 686.83$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 45c | 673.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.52 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 480$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 336.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 257.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 243.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 241.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 25c | 223.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 72c | 176.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 150.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 31c | 136.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 32c | 129$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 29c | 119.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 103.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 24c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 83.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 80.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 28c | 80.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…2784backed Yes | 28c | 68.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…2815backed No | 44c | 53.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 55c | 52.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 38.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 31.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 79c | 18.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?No won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.