TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1525…2815

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.96
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.44
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.87
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.35
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.87
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+109%+$21.72
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.42
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$10.97
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.82
Canadiens vs. Sharksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.75
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.84
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.99
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.42
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.55
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.79
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.7
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.64
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$59.98
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$12.89
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.72
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.63
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$11.46
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.95
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.21
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.42
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.76
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.9
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.31
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$10.11
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$13.91
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$34.13
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$12.83
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+280.9%+$55.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$16.53
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.9
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.08
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.77
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+148%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$6.8
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+36.5%+$38.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57%+$16.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.