MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa3f409264f9b5a0a0a7c5f42e79b2f8d5950f09d693026c83eb2ed567f0362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 68,869$30,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,990.96 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 49,997$27,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,498.68 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,249.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 24,175$10,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,878.75 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 16,089$7,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,153.43 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 13,408$7,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.53 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 12,684$6,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 12,384$6,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,572.64 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 11,768$6,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,178.09 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 10,149$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.59 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.95 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 8,470$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.06 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 7,116$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 6,212$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 6,084$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.27 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 5,768$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.95 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 4,399$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.33 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 3,964$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.46 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,885$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.38 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,743$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.09 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 3,723$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.78 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 3,640$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.51 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 3,551$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 3,441$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.45 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,805$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.12 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…d661backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,537$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,418$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.88 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,283$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.05 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,280$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 2,270$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,149$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb339…eccbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,147$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,131$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,025$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.36 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.97 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.01 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 1,649$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.3 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,596$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.98 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,566$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,512$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.57 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,346$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.05 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…68debacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,274$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…2adfbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,218$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,107$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f75…331fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,102$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,020$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,019$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.89 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…fc4fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 809.86$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 782.35$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 767.58$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 642.62$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.26 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 642.33$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…9f94backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 635.14$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 570.81$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 538.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.14 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 537.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.86 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1801…d03abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 535.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 531.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.74 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 518.58$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 479.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 451.07$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 437.15$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 428.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.21 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 418$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 391.47$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 388$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 383.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 382.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 366.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 360.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.33 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 357.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 353.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 348.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 339.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 327.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 322.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 311.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 270.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 263.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 263.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 261.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 259.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 258.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.