TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over46c57,521$26,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,496.252740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over47c21,000$9,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,869.771118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-67%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c12,553$6,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,774.5737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c9,356$5,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,687.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c8,554$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.6721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.9612839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c7,941$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.8615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under64c7,549$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.041844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9136…8e9dbacked Under55c7,273$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2902751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c5,145$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.981,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3505060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over48c4,635$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8804057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7725…3d5ebacked Under54c3,780$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under55c3,225$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde4…91b3backed Under54c2,593$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c2,355$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.426952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c1,969$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.8421143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Under54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under54c1,340$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over38c1,287$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c1,050$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c1,023$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6519055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over45c1,021$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.456157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c1,008$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c972$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.129553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9618…6409backed Under54c920.56$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.861573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c845.93$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3766756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under53c599.95$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.983961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over13c563.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.091020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under54c556$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.763551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c521.15$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c499.75$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c499.64$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked Under54c399.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…c7b4backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over41c307.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over39c303.27$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.284330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14117756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1419752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14123260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14113655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14110952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c294.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c234.22$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.749450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over38c230.41$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under53c230$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.111556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under55c219.72$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.83875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…5e13backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over11c199.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under55c181.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.69158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.68460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d07…a721backed Over45c178$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over44c170.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.148434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x916b…c42dbacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0102…188cbacked Over46c137$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under56c135.82$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.839846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.49354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.410653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.27057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.49355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.410756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over29c117.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0524052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.