Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6e8d911ec593240d51648e68e5c7f716509d68e726c5ed6b8cae3251ad4b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,408$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.1 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 38c | 1,254$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 45c | 886$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 67c | 361.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked No | 48c | 347.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 325.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 311.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked No | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 197.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 126.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 34c | 116.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…42d4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Yes | 52c | 88.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Yes | 52c | 88.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Yes | 52c | 86.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Yes | 52c | 84.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 62.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…1c3fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 43.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…792fbacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Yes | 53c | 37.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 51c | 34.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.