Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x042350995698c4dc9d885830cbc7fd20a366e2b382ee83cf48a6c057e1d5e83d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 33c | 9,500$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.99 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 8,000$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.73 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 66c | 6,932$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.96 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 5,378$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 72c | 4,285$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.73 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 45c | 2,458$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 38c | 1,250$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 1,223$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.33 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 973$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.02 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c7b4backed Over | 33c | 910.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 34c | 882.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 49c | 797.96$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Over | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 35c | 535$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 55c | 427$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…3bc6backed Under | 29c | 391.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 42c | 365$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 32c | 299.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 34c | 294.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Over | 50c | 263.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…a34bbacked Over | 71c | 259.73$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 254.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 249.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 51c | 244.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 80c | 228.51$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 215$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 64c | 159.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 49c | 150.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 54c | 147.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 140.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 36c | 139$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 36c | 136.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…c35ebacked Over | 71c | 132.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 120.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 88.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 58c | 70.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 28c | 65.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 77c | 64.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 60.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 54c | 56.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 61c | 48.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed Under | 67c | 44.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 72c | 40.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 63c | 38.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 29c | 38.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 47c | 36.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 72c | 15.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.