TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x950a…71e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Olympics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$134.51
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$129.23
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$152.07
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+93%+$372.06
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$330.25
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$220
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-3.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$101.63
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$275.4
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$118.28
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.95
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$539.45
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$203.96
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$119.41
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$282.31
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.65
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.59
Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$188.6
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+110.7%+$132.84
Maple Leafs vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+79.1%+$479.65
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$727.52
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$165.96
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$264.19
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$148.57
Panthers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.9%+$92.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$259.8
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$93.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$41.79
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$817.65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$186.34
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+111.4%+$222.76
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+86.7%+$433.54
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.2%+$288.73
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+66.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+235%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.9%+$117.86
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+83.9%+$167.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+80.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+128.5%+$238.99
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$57.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.86
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+406.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+406.9%+$813.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$128.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$285.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.