Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d4a9a84489fbce7aec242df1c069b4af9f912196e99f7c046d607f8a983711

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,401 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	66c	6,252$4,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,116.47	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	41c	1,307$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.84	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over	32c	999.37$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.8	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under	50c	743.32$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.66	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	59c	721.11$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.63	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over	19c	599.96$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.5	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	56c	583.3$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.78	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	24c	582.01$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.47	2,558	47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	28c	567.07$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.78	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e00…d969backed Over	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	52c	464.89$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.13	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Over	75c	436$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Over	38c	400$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	51c	392.14$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.84	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under	62c	345.56$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.31	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over	46c	337.77$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	21c	307.97$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.74	724	42.7%309 W · 415 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	28c	225$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	75c	224.74$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.56	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x950a…71e4backed Over	49c	224.49$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over	76c	197.37$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under	25c	182.48$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.86	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over	47c	178$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.25	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	50c	159.09$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	409	42.1%172 W · 237 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	66c	156.77$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.87	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	23c	156.57$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.56	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over	28c	142.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9046…227fbacked Over	31c	139.97$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	46c	130.01$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.21	559	55.1%308 W · 251 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over	77c	129.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	77cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over	13c	119.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	24c	114$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.64	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over	44c	113.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.84	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-50%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	58c	91.35$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.21	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	116	30.2%35 W · 81 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	76c	89$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.64	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb36…50b3backed Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Under	29c	84.14$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	240	62.5%150 W · 90 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7639…28ffbacked Over	76c	80$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over	43c	69.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	47c	68.55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	76c	65.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over	76c	65.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over	76c	65.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	18c	58.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over	46c	53.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Under	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Over	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	75cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee09…1199backed Over	68c	44.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	76c	43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	64c	39.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b1…9645backed Under	77c	38.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x535a…126bbacked Over	76c	38.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over	44c	35.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	77c	31.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.14	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under	45c	28.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over	77c	27.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	64.4%56 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over	77c	25.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under	57c	21.59$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.36	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	67c	21.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.85	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over	77c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	109	64.2%70 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	70cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	77c	19.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	-16.7wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over	77c	19.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7c…8ae5backed Under	71c	18.25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd507…f719backed Over	77c	15.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	74cpaid	-30%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9900…4d4dbacked Over	77c	15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x526e…a03cbacked Over	77c	15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-51%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5this page
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event